Premier League mistake?

Did the Premier League make a mistake in opting against five substitutions?

Did the Premier League make a mistake in opting against five substitutions?

Unlike the rest of Europe, the Premier League has opted against continuing with the two extra available substitutions, a decision that many feel is questionable. Unsurprisingly, the biggest advocates of the extra subs is Pep Guardiola and Jurgen Klopp. I would argue this is because they stand to gain the most out of it. Undoubtedly the best teams in the division will have the strongest options on the bench. The likes of Norwich and Newcastle, already have it tough enough when they have to play the top sides but they know their chances further diminish when the opponent can effectively switch half their outfield players without a drop in quality.

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Of course, Guardiola and Klopp do not acknowledge this in their case for re-introducing five subs, they instead suggest it is to protect the players from the grueling schedule. Which I concede is a fair point, but would they feel the same if they were managing a side in a relegation battle? Football tipster sites like EPL Tips are regularly taking into account the impact of 5 subs and so should you.

How has five substitutions effected other leagues?

In Italy, AC Milan and Napoli both managed ten wins from eleven and remain unbeaten. Only four times in the league’s history has a team managed such a strong start to the season. Could the extra substitutions have significantly aided their starts to the seasons? For AC Milan, three results stand out. Their wins against Spezia, Bologna, and most notably Verona were definitely helped by the introduction of subs. On that occasion, they were two goals down at halftime and came back to win 3-2. Not only can it help in chasing a victory but also protecting it. This applies more so to Napoli who have only conceded four in twelve league games and are yet to concede twice in a game.

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Will a reluctance for change be costly?

Though I do believe the extra substitutions will help a team with a stronger bench, when it is two equally strong sides, I can only see the benefits. The intensity level can be maintained for a full 90 minutes. The coach has the ability to impact the game more, applying different strategies that should actually lead to more exciting football. He can now push a player to give it for 45-60 mins, knowing he’ll avoid burnout as he’s going to be subbed.

History proves that fans are reluctant to accept change. Even VAR was feared as being a potential game destroyer. Now it is unanimously applauded. With five substitutions, it’s hard to argue against it contributing to a more entertaining sport. In the past, there had been calls for games to be shortened to 80 minutes, for this same reason. I’d lean towards the extra substitutions being a better option.

Finally, and most importantly, it should be noted that while the rest of Europe goes forward with five substitutions, an advantage is being forfeited to them by the Premier League. Who is more likely to behave the stronger fitness come May time? Not only is the rest of Europe playing in a less intense league and even in some cases a smaller division (18 teams in Bundesliga), they will be better rested. This will impact the National Team too, with almost all the squad currently playing in England. With this in mind, I think it’s only a matter of time before the league decides to go with the rest of Europe on this decision.